{"id":4724,"date":"2026-08-19T22:19:19","date_gmt":"2026-08-19T22:19:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/?p=4724"},"modified":"2026-08-20T01:24:42","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T01:24:42","slug":"ceuta-between-intelligence-that-speaks-and-security-that-stays-silent-what-did-spain-detect-that-morocco-has-not-revealed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/ceuta-between-intelligence-that-speaks-and-security-that-stays-silent-what-did-spain-detect-that-morocco-has-not-revealed\/","title":{"rendered":"Ceuta Between Intelligence That Speaks and Security That Stays Silent: What Did Spain Detect That Morocco Has Not Revealed?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ceuta has returned to the spotlight through a different door this time. According to <em>La Raz\u00f3n<\/em>, Spanish intelligence services are monitoring renewed digital activity calling for collective mobilization toward the city, following the decline of the calls that preceded the August 15 movements. The Spanish account goes beyond the possibility of migrants gathering near the border. It refers to platforms, accounts, and digital content, including material generated with artificial intelligence, and points to a shift from rumors claiming that the border fence had been opened to more confrontational messages, including calls to \u201cattack Ceuta.\u201d Yet, in the publicly available information, there has been no comparable Moroccan statement saying that Moroccan security services have identified the campaign or determined the nature of the actors behind it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">That is the real journalistic question, perhaps more important than the calls themselves: <strong>Why are Spanish intelligence services speaking about the threat while no equivalent Moroccan security narrative has been made public?<\/strong> Official silence cannot, of course, be treated as proof that Morocco failed to detect anything. Intelligence work is conducted precisely through discretion, and revealing sources, surveillance methods, or detection capabilities could expose operational capacities. But the silence nevertheless has strategic and media significance: it leaves the Spanish narrative occupying almost the entire public space when it comes to explaining what is happening in the digital environment surrounding the border.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The reality on the ground nevertheless provides an important indication: Moroccan authorities were clearly not discovering the issue at the last minute. The areas around Fnideq saw security reinforcements in anticipation of previous calls for mobilization, indicating that Morocco was at least treating the possibility of a collective movement as a risk requiring preventive action. But an important distinction must be made here between <strong>security monitoring and security communication<\/strong>. Moroccan services may know more than they disclose and may choose to prevent an event without explaining how it was detected. The essential question therefore remains: was Morocco dealing with a potential gathering of migrants, or with a digital mobilization operation possessing its own networks, channels, and possibly identifiable sources?<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Spanish reporting suggests that the nature of the phenomenon has changed. During the previous wave, false information and fabricated images, including content generated through artificial intelligence, reportedly helped create the impression that the border was open or that crossing had become possible. Now, according to the Spanish narrative, the digital discourse has become more direct, explicitly calling for movement toward Ceuta. This evolution matters because it shifts the operation from <strong>falsifying reality to attempting to manufacture a new reality through falsification<\/strong>. The first step is to convince people that an opportunity exists; the second is to transform that belief into collective movement toward the border.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The nature of the threat therefore changes as well. A person who believes false information about an open border is not necessarily part of an organized operation; they may have no idea where the message originated. But when the same narrative is repeatedly circulated across several platforms, accompanied by images, symbols, and sometimes specific dates, and directed at an audience already present in the region, the security question becomes different: who is amplifying the message? Who chooses the timing? Who benefits when it moves from a phone screen into the streets? This is precisely what makes the digital space a genuine extension of the border, rather than merely a media backdrop to the migration crisis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">What makes the timing particularly revealing is that this debate comes as a new international ranking places Morocco 43rd in the world in the 2026 National Cyber Security Index, with a score of 79.17 out of 100. The index gives the Kingdom strong results in protecting critical information infrastructure and analyzing cyber threats, alongside several other areas of digital prevention and protection. Morocco also receives a full score in cyber research and development, while the results reveal areas requiring further development, particularly cyber-crisis management, military cyber defense, and specialized education and training.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">This juxtaposition gives the cyber ranking a more concrete meaning. Having a strong architecture for protecting networks and systems does not automatically mean possessing an equivalent capacity to counter digital influence and mobilization campaigns. There is a fundamental difference between protecting an infrastructure against intrusion and detecting a campaign designed to influence thousands of people. In the first case, the target is an information system; in the second, it is the human being himself: his behavior, his decision, his timing, and his ability to distinguish reality from fabrication.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Morocco nevertheless has an important legal and institutional foundation. Law 05.20 on cybersecurity establishes a framework aimed at strengthening the protection and resilience of information systems belonging to public administrations, institutions, and critical infrastructures, while the General Directorate for Information Systems Security occupies a central position within the national cybersecurity architecture. But the Ceuta case exposes a challenge that goes beyond protecting systems: the ability to understand <strong>social information warfare<\/strong>\u2014operations that do not necessarily seek to bring down a network, but to make people move.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">That is precisely why the absence of Moroccan communication about digital monitoring becomes significant. If Moroccan services did in fact detect these calls, why has there been no public explanation, even a limited one, allowing the public to understand the nature of the threat? And if they did not detect them, the question becomes even more sensitive: how can a state that ranks relatively high in cyber-readiness indicators leave a border environment exposed to a digital narrative that, according to the Spanish side, specifically targets people located on the Moroccan side?<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nothing in the information currently available allows us to accuse a specific Moroccan or foreign party of orchestrating these campaigns, and that limitation must be respected. Nor is there evidence that the absence of Moroccan communication means an absence of Moroccan monitoring. But journalism does not need to invent an answer when the question itself is revealing. What it reveals here is an imbalance in the battle over the narrative: Spain speaks of intelligence services monitoring, platforms being analyzed, and messages being tracked; the Moroccan public is largely receiving those details through the Spanish account.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">This goes beyond the issue of government communication. In border-related crises, information itself becomes part of security. When a state leaves an explanatory vacuum, the other side can define the threat, identify its presumed origin, describe its objectives, and present itself as the actor that sees what the other side does not. A silent security capability can therefore become an information weakness: preventing a gathering on the ground is not enough if the explanation of what happened belongs entirely to an external narrative.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The real question imposed by Ceuta today is therefore no longer simply: <strong>Will another attempt to cross the border take place?<\/strong> It has become more fundamental: <strong>Who is monitoring the war that comes before the crossing?<\/strong> A fence can be watched by cameras and patrols; a message moving from one phone to another appears at the border only after it has already done its work.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Spain says its intelligence services are detecting a renewed wave of digital mobilization. Morocco is reinforcing its border, but so far it has not publicly explained what it has detected in the digital sphere or whether it has identified the sources of these calls. Between the two narratives lies a grey zone, and perhaps that is precisely what deserves the greatest attention: <strong>Morocco may know more than it says, or it may be saying less than it should. Either way, Ceuta is emerging as a laboratory for a new conception of border security, in an era when the movement of people may no longer begin at the fence, but much earlier\u2014inside a phone screen.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ceuta has returned to the spotlight through a different door this time. According to La Raz\u00f3n, Spanish intelligence services are monitoring renewed digital activity calling for collective mobilization toward the city, following the decline of the calls that preceded the August 15 movements. The Spanish account goes beyond the possibility of migrants gathering near the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4725,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39,43,42,76],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-africa","category-asia-americas","category-europe-russia","category-the-maghreb"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4724"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4724\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4726,"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4724\/revisions\/4726"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4725"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diplomatique.ma\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}